Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 4.736438 5.389542 6.108439 6.959858 7.942507 9.043120 10.372214
2025-04-27 3.905195 4.766675 5.789888 7.100073 8.740699 10.736952 13.364781
2025-05-04 3.449353 4.434017 5.671463 7.351623 9.590058 12.492796 16.579643
2025-05-11 2.967386 3.972822 5.293933 7.173428 9.805304 13.399168 18.745831
2025-05-18 2.626994 3.641644 5.026847 7.078776 10.079623 14.367567 21.066376
2025-05-25 2.359945 3.373305 4.804324 7.001728 10.342772 15.316293 23.439275
2025-06-01 2.127645 3.125570 4.578070 6.881815 10.510071 16.116326 25.653948
2025-06-08 1.924612 2.898156 4.354603 6.733831 10.603971 16.793262 27.729423
2025-06-15 1.849589 2.855574 4.402909 7.007618 11.386678 18.641774 31.973551
2025-06-22 1.738374 2.744605 4.331416 7.075985 11.830500 19.965870 35.463305
2025-06-29 1.616886 2.605476 4.200459 7.028764 12.065749 20.946292 38.441500
2025-07-06 1.503133 2.468805 4.060438 6.949656 12.231171 21.810784 41.297697
2025-07-13 1.447796 2.427071 4.078619 7.153357 12.935363 23.752026 46.541792
2025-07-20 1.387160 2.370885 4.066461 7.300103 13.547821 25.588217 51.832533
2025-07-27 1.348921 2.350278 4.114057 7.559689 14.400366 27.984444 58.631085
2025-08-03 1.249541 2.211831 3.937346 7.376018 14.358729 28.575836 61.590920
2025-08-10 1.171253 2.105842 3.811528 7.278449 14.478426 29.508537 65.438812
2025-08-17 1.102234 2.011813 3.700429 7.199026 14.625420 30.511201 69.584594
2025-08-24 1.033644 1.913516 3.573449 7.075422 14.664683 31.280284 73.277420
2025-08-31 0.967362 1.814929 3.438428 6.922892 14.624782 31.865474 76.597572
2025-09-07 0.954594 1.819789 3.507471 7.205098 15.574667 34.819182 86.361540
2025-09-14 0.919700 1.778053 3.479428 7.275572 16.051153 36.716951 93.662113
2025-09-21 0.875188 1.713764 3.400403 7.226896 16.245395 37.955603 99.373423